Monday, March 30, 2009

Descent Into Madness - Day 37



This image shows the number of submittals I've had in my job search. I track three pieces of data; the number of interviews, the number of submittals and the number of applications. I call anything where I am sending someone my resume an application. Honestly, I consider this stat meaningless because most of them just end up in a huge pile, but I track it because I might get audited for taking unemployment.

To determine how I am doing in the job search, I measure interviews/weeks of the period (I've had three interviews in seven weeks) and the number of submittals per week. A submittal is where a recruiter picks up the phone, calls me, and says they're sending my resume to an employer. Its essentially the pool from which I get interviews.

Technically, I can get a job sending a job application directly to an employer, but in my experience of multiple years of contracting, that almost never happens. I get my jobs through recruiters. Its like symbiosis. If they're doing well, I do well. If they're not doing well, I'm screwed. And interviews are like lightning. The stars all have to align just right, and tracking it as a meaningful statistic is a bit hard. Thus, to me, the most reliable stat to track is the submittal graph.

As you can see, there was a strong initial surge when I started my job search at the beginning of Feb, with a spike in the third week. March, with the exception of the first week has been abysmal.

Now to understand the process of getting a job, particularly in contract work, you have to understand how most business people think. First, irrespective of economic conditions, there are seasons of plenty and seasons of drought. Good luck finding a job from November through Jan. Yeah, you can get them but they're hard to get. July is also a pretty barren month. I guess its the heat or the number of people on vacation.

Significant business decisions are made based on the fiscal calendar, which varies from company to company but generally centers on either Jan 1 or October. That means that departments that have allocated budgets often see a surge in hiring in February or in the month preceding or immediately following a quarter.

Thus bringing up my primary concern looking at that graph. This is also bolstered by talking to my contacts among recruiters. Right now, people just aren't hiring. That's obvious based on the number of submittals shown above. The recruiters, who look at these numbers even more than I do, currently theorize that a lot of employers are waiting for first quarter performance to determine a lot of decisions.

OK, well the first quarter was kind of fubared by the last quarter of last year. There were a lot of lay offs this first quarter, which means that the shockwave from the stock collapse last october is still carrying forward. Which in turn means that if the first quarter performance for most companies is bad, not only will they not be initiating new processes (and thus hire new people) but they will also probably lay more people off.

The more people that get laid off, the greater the labor pool is, which means the more competition out there of people getting jobs.

So what do I do about this? Well there are several steps I can take. My current plan is that I will be lowering my asking price by two dollars in April and another three in May. The problem with this, is that if I lower my asking price TOO much, recruiters wonder if I have something to hide. Conversely, employers ARE asking for lower prices. My submital rate would have been higher if I'd asked for less. Its a delicate balance and I'm getting positive feedback from recruiters thus far, but then again, they get paid more when I get paid more so they're potentially a little biased. The other thing that is a problem in this is that my productivity is directly proportional to the amount I believe my employer respects me, and there are few better ways to say how much you respect your employee than what you are willing to pay them. Money talks. Shiny little certificates of appreciation are nice, but walk.

The second prong in my strategy is to do a lateral move into Project Management. The problem is that this is a bit like getting a credit card. It takes credit to get credit. It takes experience to get experience. Thus, once I graduate and have more time, I'm going to be willing to take a DRASTIC pay cut to get entry level project management experience. I need it to be able to take the PMP...because if I pass the PMP I can earn a signficant amount more money and get a much more stable (to me) career than tech writing.

The third prong of my strategy is to perform networking. The truth is that I suck at networking even though it is the best way to get a job. But we'll see how that works. Once I graduate, I plan on joining the two relevant trade associations for my vocations, the Society of Technical Writers and the Project Management Institute. I'm hoping if I start going to chapter meetings something might come up. Of course that plan involves $300 so I'm hoping to avoid having to do it for now.

The long term toll is starting to have its effects as well. Jennifer's positive reinforcement, the time since the last gap in employment occurred, and exercize have all helped delay this but they could only delay it for so long. The first manifestation usually takes the form of a shift in my sleep schedule. Right now I'm going to bed on average of 3-4am, and getting up at 10-11am. Not that bad, but it can get much worse. The second manifestation is a dramatic decrease in my motivation and productivity. I'm hoping to reduce this by setting strict daily and weekly goals but so far I'm slowly losing in that sphere as well. The third thing is a heavy tendency toward "emo" ness where my emotions become more eratic and prone to overcome reason. Again, Jennifer and the other two factors have helped with this, but time is doing damage.

This weekend for date night we finally set up our Wii. Jennifer kicked my behind on most things but Boxing and that was because I was a tasmanian devil. Exercize or no, I can only do that for so long as can see. It is VERY tiring. Plus it kind of feels wrong to pound the crap out of Jennifer's female Mii. Watching her play Akami was cool though. I am weird in that I enjoy watching other people play computer based rpg's far more than I enjoy playing them. In fact, I HATE to play them because of the part of the game model that involves 'rabbit killing' or killing/fighting stupid pointless monsters so you can get an increase in strength. I want all the parts of any game I play to be RELEVANT thank you very much, but I guess that's just me.

We also watched via netflix "Robin Hood Season 2" which is quite good, and "There Will Be Blood" which I thought was moderately good and Jennifer HATED. I can't say I blame her. There is like....one character in the entire movie who isn't an evil bastard, and that's a kid.

School is going well. I'm nearly done and greatly looking forward to graduating. Thanks to Jennifer's tutoring, I got a 90 on the last quiz. The bad news is that the final will consist of only TEN QUESTIONS and is worth forty percent of the grade. Also the math in this class is harder than any other. I used to make fun of games because they had increasing difficulty in bad guys which was just silly compared to real life.

I don't do that any more. Not after the routine increases in difficulty and 'boss fights' (ie finals) in my experience with school.

Sunday, March 22, 2009

Descent Into Madness Day 31

Six weeks. It has now been six weeks. We are not, in my opinion, in as solid a financial footing as I had hoped, but we will see. We still have reserves and Jennifer's income. More importantly, this time is better for me than others because Jennifer is here to help me psychologically through it.

We went to the Women's Angel project this weekend. Individually, most of the films were quite excellent. We also saw via DVD, "The Magdeline Sisters" which was good but also a good way to get upset at the idea of theocracy, as well as "Highlander: Quest For Vengeance" which was pretty ho hum anime.

The good news is that we saw the BSG finale which was AWESOME, as well as episode 6 on doll house (which happened to be on at the same time so we watch it on Http://www.hulu.com). Doll House is starting to show just as much promise as Angel or Buffy. Hopefully it will be allowed to achieve that promise.

Also spent some time at a model car/model plane swap meet with a friend of mine. It was pretty fun. I've got some pictures which I may put up here tomorrow. Its a hobby I could see myself getting into. It would certainly be a LOT cheaper than making movies. And I've always wanted to do something that would teach me a hard skill like electronics.

School is going well. Thanks to Jennifer's help, I am understanding this class much better than I did the last, which is good because it is (as usual) THE most difficult class I've had so far. The math is absolutely killer on this one. It is my last, and I'm hoping to graduate in May.

Monday, March 16, 2009

Descent Into Madness - Day 26

Well. The Job Market officially sucks.

When I first got laid off, there were all kinds of prospects. Now there are none. There are about 3-4 jobs on the job boards for jobs I've already submitted to, either last week or the week before, but nothing new. What is truly frightening is that there aren't even any government jobs.

The economy supposedly shows signs of getting better, but that isn't reflective in the jobs available for Technical Writers. I guess I didn't set my salary low enough to stay competitive.

Well, when (if) I graduate, I'll be setting it plenty low, since I'll effectively be changing careers and trying to gain experience as a Project Manager. When things get better, the salary should go up considerably; higher than what I was earning as a Tech Writer. In theory. Of course in the mean time, the insurance company has now declared two of Jennifer's medicines 'Category IV' which means we pay an extra $2500 a year to get them. And then there are the student loans coming due. The latter we're pretty sure we can consolidate into the longest period available, which will help, but its still not where we want to be.

For various procedural reasons, a lot of my writing isn't going as fast as I'd like, but that should pick up soon. Especially since I need something to stay sane in the void of things that are at the moment. Finished a major (and annoying) gaming project this weekend.

The last class looks like it will be...problematic, but we'll see. We saw "The International" at the theater over the weekend. It was OK. But it was definitely Netflix material.

Monday, March 9, 2009

Descent Into Madness - Day 21

Its the end of the world as I know it, and I feel fine. For the most part, things are going well. Did the math on Jennifer's income plus my income and as long as I get unemployment, we'll only be bleeding a few hundred a month at a reduced income. Not going to Hawaii mind you (not that we intended to) but we'll be able to hold on more or less.

Job Market is not as good as I'd hoped today. No real new jobs, not even ones to apply to. No calls from recruiters and I haven't heard anything from the placements. All the placements in the world don't mean much if they don't lead to interviews. Which means I'm still looking but I'm seriously ramping up ways to earn money on the side if I can think of it. I've got two friends, both of whom have been unemployed for like six months, so this might go on for a while.

We saw Mom's play "Wit" over the weekend, and I will without equivocation say that it was her finest performance to day. Hithertonow, that tie in my mind was either that chick she played in Steel Magnolias or Mephistopholes. She also did a rather amazing job in O'keife but this was better. I'll be mentioning something about it more on my live journal.

Saturday, March 7, 2009

Life

We saw Watchmen last night. It was pretty good but DEFINITELY not a family movie. A lot of people are calling for a reedit, and I can see why they say that, but for the most part I liked it the way it was. Jennifer liked it as well though neither of us were wildly amazed as we left. Its not that kind of movie. Its really more one that makes you think instead.

It looks like I probably didn't get the job I interviewed for this week. It has been 4 weeks now and while I have 14 placements (now 9 after the two interviews produced no results) it isn't as good a field as I had hoped. We'll see what happens. A few of the jobs I've been placed for are permanent which would be very nice. This too shall (probably) pass.

Monday, March 2, 2009

Descent into Madness - Day 17

Things are looking up, which is good because they're also getting worse.

I have potentially had an offer...kind of. It is one of the two interviews I've had and he's said he wants to contact me to 'move things forward'...but I haven't heard anything else. I also have a live in person interview tomorrow morning. In 17 days, I've had 11 placements (Recruiter calls and sends my resume to an actual person with an actual job) which in 3 weeks is a very good ratio even during boom time.

In fact, it generally takes at the least a month to get a job no matter what the climate may be. Which is good, because now that I've gotten my severance in one lump sum, plus tax return, I get to see a slow whittling away at the reserve until we get a second source of income despite Jennifer's income and despite our current reduced expenses.

The bad news is that I had forgotten how damaging unemployment was to my psyche. After two years of steady employment, you forget how much one begins to play games with one's own mind. Exercise and spending time Jennifer reduces this, but it will only get worse over time. One questions one's worth. Much less writing or studying.

I have the final from the bottom layers of Hell tomorrow which I MUST pass to graduate in May. Getting this close only makes the stakes that much higher, especially with student loans coming due. The future is uncertain but education is always a good thing to have in almost any historical storm....and if we're getting raided by the visigoths, then I've got more important things to worry about.

This weekend we had our last big 'outing' until I get a job. We ate at the Imperial Fez for our anniversary, which is a Moroccan restaurant. They have a five course meal where you eat with your hands. They put a towel over your shoulder. The food was quite good and the atmosphere was very nice.

We watched "3:10 to Yuma" and "Eagle vs Shark" both of which were good. Eagle vs Shark is not a family film but it is a bit of a quirky offshoot of Napolean Dynamite. 3:10 to Yuma is a western and a remake but a fascinating character study, particularly the Villain.